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Stock Market Today: September 18, 2023

September 18, 2023

The U.S. stock market seems poised for a softer opening this morning, as traders brace themselves for a potentially turbulent week. Specifically, investors are awaiting an important policy decision from the Federal Reserve. Further, the UAW (United Auto Workers) strike that is challenging the nation’s auto industry could spread to additional factories with greater impact on the broader economy. At the time we were writing this report, the S&P 500 Index futures were down slightly in pre-market trading.

In economic news, there are few notable reports slated for this morning. Tomorrow, housing starts and building permits for the month of August will be published. On Wednesday, the main event of the week will take place, when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps up its two-day policy meeting, and weighs in with an interest rate decision. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will also offer some prepared remarks, and usually conducts a short question and answer session with the financial media. Most investors do not expect that the central bank will lift rates at this juncture. However, they will probably want to see some supportive guidance regarding future policy decisions.

On the corporate front, this week should be relatively quiet, with just a handful of notable companies posting results. On Tuesday, we will hear from Autozone (AZO), a sizable retailer and distributor of auto parts. On Wednesday, we will receive reports from FedEx (FDX), General Mills (GIS), and KB Home (KBH). Looking ahead, the third quarter will soon be coming to a close. The upcoming earnings season could be pivotal, as many investors have maintained an upbeat outlook for the remainder of 2023. Wall Street may not react too favorably, if profits fall short and management tempers guidance, especially given current equity valuations.

From a technical vantage point, the S&P 500 Index has been a bit sluggish lately. The broader average is currently sitting around its 50-day moving average, located near the 4,480 level. This area is widely watched by traders and followers of technical analysis, and as a result, and should be viewed with some importance. From a sector perspective, we have noted some rotation taking place over the past month. Specifically, the energy and basic materials stocks have started to display leadership, possibly reflecting a recent rebound in crude oil prices. The financial stocks have also started to firm up, which is a positive development. Meanwhile, the technology issues have become somewhat less popular with investors. – Adam Rosner

At the time of this article’s writing, the author did not have positions in any of the companies mentioned.

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