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Dow 30 Earnings: American Express Third Quarter 2019

October 18, 2019

American Express (AXP  Free American Express Stock Report) a Dow-30 component and one of the world's largest issuers of credit cards, reported September-period financial results that were largely in line with our estimates. The shares advanced modestly on the news.

For the quarter, the company achieved revenues of roughly $11.0 billion. The top line represented an 8% increase over the year-earlier figure. The healthy gain mostly stemmed from greater cardmember spending, net interest income, and card fees. Consolidated expenses advanced 9%, to $7.8 billion, which reflected higher reward costs and the company's marketing initiatives. In sum, the bottom line came in at $2.08 per share, which was a penny lower than our estimate and 11% better than the prior-year tally.

Looking ahead, we remain bullish in regard to Amex's operations. The company was able to add 2.9 million cards during the September quarter. This should lead to further advances in cardmember spending, loans, and fees down the road. For full-year 2019, we are keeping our share-earnings estimate unchanged at $8.20, which fits nicely within management's guidance range of $7.85-$8.35. Our call works out to a 12% increase over 2018's results.

Our outlook for the stock remains mixed. The company's business prospects, along with the current strength of the stock market, may help the equity reach new heights in the near term. That said, AXP shares appear fully valued. The stock price has jumped more than 25%, year to date, and is now trading at a rather rich valuation compared to its historical record. Thus, it may not appeal to value-oriented investors. The issue also offers below-average 18-Month and three- to five-year capital appreciation potential.

About The Company: Established in 1850, American Express Company has grown to become a leading global payments, network, and travel firm. It operates through multiple business segments, including the Global Consumer Group and Global Business-to-Business Group. The company sold its AMEX Life business in October of 1995 and its American Express Bank in February of 2008. In mid-1994, it spun off Lehman Brothers to shareholders and ten years later, did the same with American Express Financial Advisors.

Ian Gendler

At the time of this article’s writing, the author did not have positions in any of the companies mentioned.
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